Jets vs Canadiens 06/07/21 – Odds and NHL Betting Trends

The Winnipeg Jets do not have any apparent long-term trend that hints that they can get back on track as they face elimination. The Jets are the +130 underdogs and the Montreal Canadiens are -150 favorites with a 5.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Monday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com (how the moneyline works).

The teams played on Sunday, and the Jets are 3-7 in their last 10 games on the second of a back-to-back with the total going OVER six times at online sports betting sites. The Canadiens are 4-6 in their last 10 games on the second of a back-to-back – including losses in the last five – with a 5-5 split on the totals. The Jets are 5-5 in their last 10 playoff games as the away underdog, with the UNDER hitting seven times. The Canadiens are 6-5 in their last 11 playoff games as  the favorite, with the OVER hitting six times with two pushes.

The Canadiens, who hold a 3-0 lead in the best-of-seven series, have outscored the Jets 5-2 in the five-on-five phase. Montreal has a 72.5 goals-for percentage and 64.8 expected-goals percentage, according to Natural Stat Trick. On the power play in the series, the Jets are zero-for-seven and the Canadiens are two-for-10. (All advanced stats are based on score- and venue-adjusted five-on-five play.)

The Jets, who are without No. 1 center Mark Scheifele (suspension), produced high-danger scoring chances at a higher rate on Sunday than in either of their two earlier losses to Montreal, but still lost 5-1. The Pierre-Luc Dubois-Kyle Connor-Blake Wheeler first line had an xGF% under 40 percent. Paul Stastny drew in the center spot between Connor and Wheeler in the third period, and that trio should have a chance of producing offense in this do-or-done matchup. Wheeler also led the Jets in expected goals (per MoneyPuck).  The Andrew Copp-Nikolaj Ehlers-Paul Stastny line had an xGF% above 70 on Sunday, but played very low-event hockey.

Winnipeg is 9-9 over its last 18 away games that were on the second of a back-to-back. The average total in those games was 6.17.

Connor Hellebuyck has a 4-3-0 record with a 2.14 goals-against average and .931 save percentage so far in the playoffs. The Jets goalie is third in the NHL playoffs with 8.5 goals saved above expected

The Canadiens have been trading chances with the Jets more as the series has progressed, but have continued to earn high-danger opportunities at a steady rate. The Phillip Danault-Artturi Lehkonen-Brendan Gallagher line had an xGF% of over 73 on Sunday, and the Nick Suzuki-Tyler Toffoli-Cole Caulfield trio also exceeded 60 percent. Betters looking for an anytime scorer prop bet might take note that Caufield (six shots) and Gallagher (three) were Montreal’s hard-luck attackers on Sunday.

The Canadiens are 6-10-3 in their last 19 home games played on the second night of a back-to-back. The average total in those games is 5.63.

Carey Price has a 7-3-0 record in the playoffs with a 1.97 GAA and .938 save percentage. Price is second in the NHL playoffs with 9.1 goals saved above expected.