Jets vs Canucks 03/24/21 – Odds and NHL Betting Trends

Nation World HQ
3 years ago
by OddsShark (@OddsShark) – Sponsored Post
The Winnipeg Jets have good value on the road on the strength of reliable goaltending and the head-to-head history as they ready for a rematch with the banged-up Vancouver Canucks. The Jets are -135 away favourites and the Canucks are +115 home underdogs with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Wednesday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
Since 2016-17, the Jets are 12-3 as a favourite against the Canucks, with the total going UNDER in 10 of those 15 matchups at online sports betting sites. The Jets are 4-1 in their last five games as an away favourite, with the total finishing UNDER four times. The Canucks are 6-8 in their last 14 games as a home underdog, and the total has gone UNDER in six of the last seven matchups where they received plus money at home.
Jets vs Canucks | OddsShark Matchup Report
Following their 4-0 win on Monday, the Jets are up 4-2 in the season series with the Canucks. Winnipeg has a 10-9 edge in five-on-five goals. The Jets have a slight edge in expected goals-for percentage, or xGF% (50.2) and scoring-chances percentage (52.2), but Natural Stat Trick credits the Canucks with the better high-danger chances share (53.9). The Jets are two-for-11 on the power play while the Canucks are three-for-14. (All advanced stats are based on score- and venue-adjusted five-on-five play.)
The Jets, who are 19-11-2, have won 19 of their last 34 away games when they had one day of rest over the past two seasons. The Paul Stastny-Mark Scheifele-Blake Wheeler line had some puck luck in Monday’s win by scoring two goals despite a collective xGF% under 50 percent. The Pierre-Luc Dubois-Kyle Connor-Nikolaj Ehlers line might seem more due for success after having nothing to show for its offensive activity last time out, when Ehlers was scoreless in spite of a team-most five shots. Third-line center Adam Lowry, who had two goals on Monday, is also a matchup problem for Vancouver.
Within the past 30 days, Winnipeg is 21st in the 31-team NHL in shots-for percentage (48.7), 19th in xGF% (48.6) and 22nd in high-danger chances share (46.5). In this span, the Jets are 10th in goal scoring (3.07 per game) but 21st in goals against (3.00), while their power play ranks fourth (30.3 percent) and their penalty killing ranks 21st (76.0).
Connor Hellebuyck is 14-9-2 with a 2.72 goals-against average and .913 save percentage after a well-earned shutout on Monday. Laurent Brossoit, who is 5-2-1 with a 2.43 GAA and .920 save percentage, also has a shutout in Vancouver this season.
The Canucks, who are 16-17-3, were already missing depth down the middle before center Bo Horvat, their second-leading goal scorer and go-to faceoff taker, injured his left foot on Monday. Any absence for Horvat is expected to be brief, but Vancouver, despite contributions from the recently formed J.T. Miller-Jimmy Vesey-Jake Virtanen line, has been scuffling offensively. The Canucks have had an xGF% under 50 percent in 11 of their last 12 games. Nils Hoglander was the lone Vancouver forward with more than two shots on goal in the five-on-five phase on Monday.
Since Feb. 22, Vancouver ranks 28th in shots-for percentage (43.9), 30th in xGF% (41.7) and 24th in high-danger chances share (44.4). In the last 30 days, the Canucks are 28th in goal scoring (2.29 per game) and 14th in goals against (2.57). Their power play ranks fifth (28.6 percent) and their penalty killing ranks 24th (74.4).
Thatcher Demko, who is 12-11-2 with  a 2.72 GAA and .919 save percentage, had a minus-2.14 goals saved above expected on Monday. But Demko has not had two starts in a row where he allowed three or more goals since early February. Braden Holtby, who is 4-6-2 with a 3.57 GAA and .894 save percentage, has allowed 12 goals in his last three starts.
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