Jets vs Canadiens 03/04/21 – Odds and NHL Betting Trends
2 years ago
by OddsShark (@OddsShark) – Sponsored Post
The Winnipeg Jets’ moneyline history is not encouraging as they embark on an away series against a foe that outplayed them recently. The Jets are +135 away underdogs and the Montreal Canadiens are -155 home favourites with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Thursday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
The Jets are 3-6 over their last nine away games – and 0-6 in their last six – as a +130 to +155 underdog at online sports betting sites. The total has gone UNDER in seven of those matchups. They are also 4-10 in their last 14 games as an away underdog. The Canadiens are 9-6 in their last 15 home games as a -150 to -175 favourite, with the UNDER hitting eight times.
Jets vs Canadiens | OddsShark Matchup Report
Winnipeg swept a two-game home series against Montreal last week, with one win in overtime. The Canadiens’ wide edges in shots-for percentage (65.4), expected-goals percentage (63.7 xGF%) and high-danger chances share (65.3) only worked out to a 4-3 edge in five-on-five goals, according to Natural Stat Trick. The Jets’ power play is two-for-seven and the Canadiens’ is one-for-four so far in the season series. (All advanced stats include only score- and venue-adjusted five-on-five play.)
The Jets are 14-7-1 on the season, and have also won 16 of their last 28 away games with one day of rest. The newly formed Mark Scheifele-Paul Stastny-Blake Wheeler first line combined for seven points during a 5-2 win against the lowly Vancouver Canucks on Tuesday, and other attackers such as Kyle Connor and Nikolaj Ehlers have contributed to Winnipeg’s shooting efficiency. The Jets are overly reliant on their goaltending, though, as they allow high-danger chances at the worst rate in the NHL.
Winnipeg is 24th in the 31-team NHL in share of shots for (48.4 percent), as well as 30th in xGF% (44.7) and 31st in high-danger chances share (41.5). The Jets are third in goal scoring (3.36 per game) and eighth in goals against (2.64). Their power play ranks 14th (23.5 percent) and their penalty killing ranks 18th (78.0).
Connor Hellebuyck, who is 10-6-0 with a 2.59 goals-against average and .915 save percentage, should be back in goal after a night off in Winnipeg’s last game. Hellebuyck is 4-2-1 with a 3.02 GAA and .917 save percentage in eight career games against Montreal.
The Canadiens are 10-6-5 after a 3-1 home win against the Ottawa Senators on Tuesday. Montreal failed to score a five-on-five goal for the third time this season, but they are 2-0 in the next game out after that has occurred. Brendan Gallagher and Tyler Toffoli, the two Canadiens forwards who scored in their last outing, were also the club’s only two consistent threats up front. Montreal, which has won only 12 of its last 24 home games played with one day of rest, has had discipline problems all season. Only three other teams spend more minutes per game shorthanded.
Montreal ranks first in share of shots for (57.7 percent) and in xGF% (58.0) and is also second in high-danger chances share (59.8). The Canadiens are seventh in goal scoring (3.24 per game) and 14th in goals against (2.81). Their power play ranks 17th (21.0 percent) and their penalty killing ranks 20th (76.8).
The Canadiens’ No. 1 goalie, Carey Price, is 6-4-3 with a 2.96 GAA and .893 save percentage, which are both below league average. Backup Jake Allen, who played in the Canadiens’ most recent matchup against Winnipeg, has actually been more effective than Price this season. Allen is 4-2-2 with a 2.12 GAA and .929 save percentage this season,
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