Canadiens vs Jets 02/25/21 – Odds and NHL Betting Trends
2 years ago
by OddsShark (@OddsShark) – Sponsored Post
The Winnipeg Jets’ strong underdog trends form a more known quantity, whereas the Montreal Canadiens’ response to a coaching change before a road trip is the wild card for bettors. The Jets are +115 home underdogs and the Canadiens are -135 away favourites with a 6.5-goal total on the NHL odds for Thursday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
Winnipeg is 5-2 over seven matchups as an underdog. The Jets are also 6-3 in their last nine games as an underdog at home, with the total finishing UNDER five times. Montreal is 2-7 in its last nine games as a favourite, with the total going UNDER six times. However, when favoured on the road, the Canadiens are 8-6 in their last 14 games as an away favourite, with the total going OVER nine times.
Canadiens vs Jets | OddsShark Matchup Report
Since 2015-16, the Jets are 4-6 against the Canadiens with the total finishing OVER in eight of those 10 matchups at betting sites. This is the first of their nine scheduled matchups, with another set for Saturday.
The Canadiens, who are 9-5-4, fired coach Claude Julien and assistant coach Kirk Muller on Wednesday, and installed Dominique Ducharme as interim coach. Despite the reliable scoring of wings Josh Anderson and Tyler Toffoli and dominance in the five-on-five phase, Montreal is 1-3-2 in its last six games while earning the expected goals-for percentage (xGF%) every time out, according to Natural Stat Trick. (All advanced stats include only five-on-five play.) It could take more than one game to correct goaltending and special teams issues that have been Montreal’s downfall. On the goal scorer prop front, Anderson and defenseman Jeff Petry had a combined 13 shots and no goals in Montreal’s last game.
Montreal is first in the 31-team NHL in both shots-for percentage (56.7 percent), xGF% (62.7) and high-danger chances share (58.7). The Canadiens are seventh in goal scoring (3.39 per game) and 12th in goals against (2.78). On special teams, their power play is ranked 20th (18.2 percent) and the penalty killing unit is ranked 22nd (76.4).
Carey Price is 5-3-3 with a 2.93 goals-against average and .895 save percentage this season, but MoneyPuck ranks him 24th of 42 qualified NHL goalies in save percentage above expected. Backup Jake Allen, who has a 4-2-1 record with a 2.14 GAA and .932 save percentage, ranks second in that category.
The Jets are 11-6-1 and have not played since Sunday. Winnipeg is 10-5-3 over its last 18 home games when it had more than one day off. At the one-third mark of the season, Winnipeg can fairly be called the anti-Canadiens, since the Jets typically have needed two big lines – the Mark Scheifele-Pierre-Luc Dubois-Blake Wheeler and Paul Stastny-Kyle Connor-Nikolaj Ehlers trios – and good goaltending to win the day against the run of five-of-five play.
Backing the Jets at plus money involves assuming some risk with a team that allows high-danger chances at the worst rate in the NHL. Connor, much like Anderson, is also coming off a game where he did not score but led his team’s forwards in shots and expected goals.
Winnipeg ranks 22nd in shots-for percentage (48.8 percent), as well as 15th in xGF% (51.4) and 30th in high-danger chances share (42.1). The Jets are sixth in goal scoring (3.39 per game) and 11th in goals against (2.67). Their power play is ranked 14th (22.8 percent) and the penalty killing unit is ranked 13th (80.4).
Connor Hellebuyck is 8-5-1 with a 2.64 GAA and .916 save percentage, and MoneyPuck ranks him eighth in the NHL in save percentage above expected. Hellebuyck has a 2-2-1 record, 3.42 GAA and .912 save percentage in six career games against Montreal.
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