by OddsShark (@OddsShark) – Sponsored Post
The Winnipeg Jets are coming off a blowout defeat, although they are catching a division leader that has lost two games in row. The Jets are +160 underdogs and the Toronto Maple Leafs are -180 favourites with a 6.0-goal total on the NHL odds for Tuesday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
The Jets are 2-6 in their last eight games against Toronto, with the total going UNDER in four of the last six matchups at online betting sites. The Jets are also 3-6 in their last nine away games when their moneyline was +150 or more. The Maple Leafs are 6-1 in their last seven home games as a favourite of -160 to -220, with the total going UNDER five times. However, Toronto is also just 3-3 in its last six home games.
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Jets vs Maple Leafs | OddsShark Matchup Report
The temporary North Division rivals have had only three matchups since Jan. 1, 2020. The Jets have been on the short end in expected goals-for percentage, or xGF% (35.9), scoring-changes percentage (38.9) and high-danger chances share (26.5), per Natural Stat Trick. (All advanced stats include score- and venue-adjusted five-on-five play.) Winnipeg’s power play is one-for-eight and Toronto’s is two-for-seven.
The Jets are 15-8-1 after their 7-1 road defeat against the Montreal Canadiens last Saturday. The two days off should provide an energy boost to the Mark Scheifele-Paul Stastny-Blake Wheeler and Pierre-Luc Dubois-Kyle Connor-Nikolaj Ehlers scoring lines. The Jets have averaged 3.29 goals in their last 14 away games with multiple rest days. With that said, Winnipeg allows high-danger chances at the worst rate in the NHL and their depth forwards and defense corps will be tested severely by Toronto over this three-game series.
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Winnipeg ranks 24th in the 31-team NHL in shots-for percentage (48.2), 28th in xGF% (45.7) and 31st in high-danger chances share (42.8). The Jets are sixth in goal scoring (3.29 per game) and 14th in goals against (2.83). Their power play ranks 12th (23.6 percent) and their penalty killing ranks 21st (77.1).
Connor Hellebuyck, who has an 11-7-1 record with a 2.73 goals-against average and .911 save percentage, has allowed three or more goals in seven of his last eight starts. Hellebuyck is 3-4-1 with a 3.24 GAA and .901 save percentage in eight career games against Toronto.
The Maple Leafs are 18-6-2 in spite of two recent road defeats against the Vancouver Canucks. Center Auston Matthews, who is on a five-game goal drought, and linemates Joe Thornton and Mitchell Marner have had a dip in production, but Toronto had a 61.9 xGF% during its last game. That edge might be maintained by the third- and fourth-line depth forwards, who have scored nine of Toronto’s last 16 goals, which means the likes of Zach Hyman and Jason Spezza are value plays in scoring props.
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Toronto ranks 11th in shots-for percentage (50.8), eighth in xGF% (53.1) and eighth in high-danger chances share (52.7). The Maple Leafs are second in goal scoring (3.46 per game) and fifth in goals against (2.42). Their power play ranks first (31.3 percent) and their penalty killing ranks 23rd (77.3).
Frederik Andersen has a 12-4-2 record, 2.68 GAA and .906 save percentage. Andersen is also 10-0-2 with a 2.70 GAA and .914 save percentage in 13 career games against Winnipeg.