Establishing AHL Baselines for Prospect Success

Josh W
July 24 2015 09:37AM

Nearly every hockey fan has the basic understanding that the NHL is the best hockey league in the world and that to become an regular player in the league you need to be the best of the best. Combining this with the piling of recent evidence suggesting that the peak age of players is around the mid-20s, it starts to become apparent that fans in every fan base tend to be over-confident in the success of their AHL (and other) prospects.

It is important when studying prospects, and when wanting to increase the general understanding of the league, to establish a baseline of success for those in development leagues.  

Continue past the jump as we look into AHL success.

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The Roundup

Nation World HQ
July 24 2015 07:00AM

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What has Kyle Dubas done, Canucks not having a very good summer, do the Flames have a core group, who is the Oilers next captain, free agents still out there and more in this weeks Roundup

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Michael Spacek's 2014-15 Highlights | Pardubice HC, Czech

Garret Hohl
July 23 2015 12:03PM

The Winnipeg Jets selected Michael Spacek at 108th overall in the fourth round.

Spacek is a 5'11 forward that played most of the year in the Czech's premier pro-league. Despite being an undersized 17-year-old , Spacek was able to earn the confidence to play in one of the world's top men's leagues.

Check out some of Spacek's highlights last season.

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Winnipeg Jets look to potential NHL rookies to provide internal competition and fill in depth

Garret Hohl
July 22 2015 12:59PM

Besides killing the 2015 NHL Entry Draft, the Winnipeg Jets summer has been very quiet. To some, too quiet.

Currently the Jets are heading towards the season with only 22 signed who were regular roster players for most of last season, with a few of those being possible depth options sent to the Manitoba Moose. The most apparent holes seem to be the ones left by the departure of Lee Stempniak, Jiri Tlusty, and Jim Slater.

However, this has given some Jets an opportunity to earn their keep in the NHL.

Let's take a look at some potential NHL rookies who will be battling for a roster spot this September and October.

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Winnipeg Jets ver 2.0, All-Time Best

Garret Hohl
July 21 2015 10:57AM

Okay, okay. I understand that a "all-time best" is a bit silly for a team with only four seasons accumulated. And yes, we could expand the sample by including franchise history (Atlanta Thrashers) or city history (WHA and older NHL Jets).

Still, this is a new team in many ways despite it's relationship to the past.

The exercise also gives us an opportunity (and an excuse) to use WAR-on-Ice's Goals Above Replacement, a holistic statistic that estimates a player's impact on goal differentials by combining their performance in shot differentials, scoring, penalty differentials, and face offs relative to a replacement level player. It's an imperfect statistic, but is a good place to start the conversation.

For the research, we will limit our looks at players who played at least a full season for the Winnipeg Jets. Let's take a look.

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