Nation Network Prospect Profiles: #51-47

As we start to approach the middle of the second round for rankings, things start to get interesting. The grouping of 51st to 47th has four defenceman and a winger who could conceivably go much earlier in June.

As we get to the middle of the second round, the ranked players become more and more intriguing. This grouping includes a former first overall pick in the QMJHL draft, a defenceman who put up 59 points, a standout at the U18’s, the younger brother of a former 4th overall pick in the NHL and defenceman from the USDP with a high offensive ceiling. 

We will reference the Prospect Graduation Probabilities System (pGPS) throughout this piece, a more indepth explanation can be found here. But simply put, the system is used to see how often statistically similar players graduate into the NHL. It isn’t used as the only point of reference or analysis, but is a complimenting tool to give us another angle to analyze these draft hopefuls.

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In case you missed them, here are the earlier prospect profiles for the 2016 NHL Entry Draft:

Nation Network Prospect Profile – #56 – #52 

Nation Network Prospect Profile – #60 – #57

51. Luke Green

Bio:

  • Age: 18, 1998-01-12
  • Birthplace: Halifax, N.S., Canada
  • Frame: 6’1″, 185 lbs.
  • Position: D
  • Handedness: R
  • Draft Year Team: Saint John Sea Dogs
  • Accomplishments/Awards: 2015/16 CHL/NHL Top Prospects Game, QMJHL Gold Cup Bronze Medal (13/14)

Stats:

Screen Shot 2016-05-05 at 8.19.01 AM

pGPS n pGPS s pGPS % pGPS P/GP pGPS R
101 19 18.81% 0.3258 0.0613

Scouts:

NHL CSS ISS Future Considerations HockeyProspect McKeen’s Button
40 (NA) N/A N/A N/A N/A 57

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Scott Wheeler of McKeen’s Hockey: (September 2015)

Probably the closest to rising into that core group, Green is an offensively gifted offensive defensemen who can shoot as well as he can pass and carry the puck. A gifted handler, Green can manage the game and a powerplay from the backend. The former QMJHL first overall selection (2014) isn’t a physical defender, but he’s efficient at closing gaps with his skating and an active stick defensively.
In his rookie season, Green finished third among 1998-born players and second among defenders with 36 points in 60 games on the backend in Saint John.

Our Take:

Luke Green flirted with being a first round pick for the upcoming draft when the season began but fell to a more reasonable mid to late second round pick in the most recent rankings. The 2014 QMJHL first overall pick is a defenceman who helps drive the play offensively by using his good awareness and shifty skating abilities to create speed through the neutral zone and then delivers the puck to his team-mates in transition.

Ideally Green would’ve seen an uptick in his offensive production in his draft year when compared to his D-1 season, but unfortunately he remained flat at about 0.57 PPG. This is likely in part due to the Sea Dogs having depth on the back end with hopes of challenging for a QMJHL title. This bid fell short with Saint John losing to Shawinigan in the conference finals. When comparing Green to teammate and Boston Bruins first round pick Jacob Zboril, Green outpaced Zboril in PPG by a large margin (0.57 PPG vs. 0.40 PPG).

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Like many defenceman his age, Green will need to round out his defensive game to make it at the next level, but this isn’t to say that he is a liability in his own end, it’s merely suggesting he may have some issues as the quality of his opponents increases.

Any team that does select Green will hope that he can continue to round out his defensive game without sacrificing his offensive output. Given that his pGPS saw 18.81% go onto becoming NHL regulars, Green is as a good a bet as any other defenceman in latter half of the second round

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50. Frederic Allard

Bio:

  • Age: 18, 1997-12-27
  • Birthplace: Quebec, QC, Canada
  • Frame: 6’1″, 179 lbs.
  • Position: D
  • Handedness: R
  • Draft Year Team: Chicoutimi Saguenéens
  • Accomplishments/Awards: QMJHL Gold Cup Silver Medal (Silver)

Stats:

Screen Shot 2016-05-05 at 8.47.32 AM

pGPS n pGPS s pGPS % pGPS P/GP pGPS R
16 5 31.25% 0.3792 0.1185

Scouts:

NHL CSS ISS Future Considerations Hockey Prospect McKeen’s Button
32 (NA) N/A N/A N/A N/A 84

Scott Wheeler of McKeen’s Hockey: (September 2015)

Allard, a small but offensively gifted defensemen, is another late 1997 birth date, and has an extra season in the QMJHL under his belt as a result, breaking 30 points last season. He will be counted on as the team’s top defender this season and is capable of putting up 40+ points from the backend. Allard doesn’t have a heavy shot, or shoot often, but he handles the puck extremely intelligently and is a talented cross-ice passer at even strength and on the powerplay.

Our Take:

Teammate of current Canucks prospect Dmitry Zhukenov, Frederic Allard is an offensive defensemen who is extremely lethal on the man advantage and in odd man rushes. I mentioned above that we would’ve liked to see an offensive production increase for Green in his draft year, Allard saw that bump and more. Nearly doubling his points total and increasing his goal total from 2 to 10. Allard was part of 26.5% of the goals that the Sagueneens scored this past season.

Due to his December birthday, Allard does have the advantage of this being his third QMJHL season but that shouldn’t diminish his improvements this season.

The Sagueneens were ranked 2nd in the QMJHL on the power play (25.9%), and Allard was a huge part of that.

As Wheeler mentions, Allard was very adept at handling the puck while on the power play – and through my own viewings, one thing that particularly stuck out to me was that Allard would hold onto the puck on the PP drawing the defending team to him. He would then find a seam, get the puck to someone Zhukenov or Carolina prospect Nicholas Roy, who would attack the net. Since Allard drew one of the penalty killers to him, this would create an odd man situation down low that the Sagueneens would use to create scrambles and capitalize on. So even though the 26.5% of goals that Allard is impressive, there were quite a few times where Allard didn’t factor into the scoring, but was the reason why the play was created well before.

Looking at his pGPS, 31.25% went onto becoming NHL regulars. Unfortunately there was only 16 matches, so the sample size is too small to confidently use that as the benchmark. But given how well the Quebec native showed on the man up, and that was still able to handle himself at even strength, he is someone to keep an eye on.

49. Jordan Kyrou

Bio:

  • Age: 18, 1998-05-08
  • Birthplace: Toronto, Ontario, Canada
  • Frame: 6’0″, 179 lbs.
  • Position: RW/C
  • Handedness: R
  • Draft Year Team: Sarnia Sting
  • Accomplishments/Awards: OHL Gold Cup Silver Medal (13/14), Ivan Hlinka Gold Medal (15/16), 2015/16 CHL/NHL Top Prospects Game, 

Stats:

Screen Shot 2016-05-05 at 9.33.46 AM

pGPS n pGPS s pGPS % pGPS P/GP pGPS R
196 44 22.45% 0.4549 0.1021

Scouts:

NHL CSS ISS Future Considerations Hockey Prospect McKenzie Button
34 (NA) N/A N/A N/A 42 37

Brock Otten of OHL Prospects:

Kyrou plays the game with a ton of energy, constantly buzzing around, with and without the puck. When it’s on his stick, his creativity and vision make him a terrific playmaker. When it’s not on his stick, he’s battling hard to get it back and can be relentless in puck pursuit. Overall, just a terrific playmaking center who makes those around him better.

Steve Kournianos – Draft Analyst (January 2016):

Up-and-down playmaker whose flashes of brilliance grew longer in scope and scale until another slump has him trudging into the Top Prospects Game. He’s played on Sarnia’s second line for most of the season after showing chemistry with New Jersey 2015 first rounder Pavel Zacha a year ago. But a recnt move to the top line with Zacha and newly-acquired Travis Konecny should begin to pay dividends. Kyrou is very athletic and has his head up at all times, and you wonder why he hasn’t produced when you consider his passing ability, especially off the rush.

Our Take:

All year long, Jordan Kyrou has been a player that has intrigued me. Someone who could have a very high ceiling that is just scratching the surface of his talent. This isn’t to say he was ever disappointing but merely suggesting, that the talent is there and if he continues his upward trend, could be a great value pick in the middle of the second round.

He is a very smart playmaking player, and when given the opportunity can bury his own chances. When he has the puck, you can see that him patiently waiting for a chance to deliver a perfect pass to his teammate.

He showed very well at the U18 tournament this year, posting five goals and three assists in 7 games with Team Canada. Like many players on that roster, he was all over the roster but he seemed to fit in with whoever he played with, which is a fantastic sign. To some degree, you want your playmakers to be able to move throughout your lineup and make their line mates better and that is Kyrou’s calling card right now.

As suggested above for Allard, that when looking at their pGPS, you hoping for a high percentage of successful matches and also hoping for a lot of matches to improve the validity of the scope. With 22.45% of the almost 200 matches going onto becoming NHL regulars, Kyrou has the % and numbers to suggest that he is definitely worth a second round pick. 

What’s also important to remember is that the pGPS should be used in conjunction with actual viewing of the player, and there my extensive viewings of the Toronto native, I firmly believe he is worthy of the risk.

I don’t think that Kyrou is a first round talent, but I won’t be surprised to see him go in the 30-40 range either. He is one of those prospects that is a perfect compliment to a first round pick. Thus a team with an early first round pick, could then take Kyrou in the early second and would greatly improve their forward prospect core in one fallow swoop.

48. Lucas Johansen

Bio:

  • Age: 18, 1997-11-26
  • Birthplace: Port Moody, B.C. , Canada
  • Frame: 6’1″ 176 lbs.
  • Position: D
  • Handedness: L
  • Draft Year Team: Kelowna Rockets
  • Accomplishments/Awards: 2014/15 WHL Championship, 2015/16 CHL/NHL Top Prospects Game

Stats:

Screen Shot 2016-05-05 at 9.52.39 AM

pGPS n pGPS s pGPS % pGPS P/GP pGPS R
86 35 40.70% 0.3089 0.1257

Scouts:

NHL CSS ISS Future Considerations Hockey Prospect McKeen’s Button
26 (NA) N/A N/A N/A 28 50

NHL Central Scouting: (January 2016)

Good size and strength, developing into solid two way defenseman – good hands and puck skills to manage the play at offensive blue line – excellent short game and passer, good shot from the point – effective game with and without the puck

Iain Morrell – McKeen’s

A poised, all-weather defenseman with good size, skill and mobility. 

Johansen adopts a safe and conservative approach – and isn’t one to stand out by making flashy plays or being aggressive offensively

Aynsley Scott – Dobber Prospects:

Lucas Johansen is a smooth skating cerebral defenseman, with an accurate shot from the point, who plays a solid all around game. Fluid is stride, Johansen can get to open pucks and find seams through fore-checkers as he transitions the puck up ice with ease. Not overly physical, Johansen plays a steady positional defense and keeps and active stick to break up passes of attackers. Though his calling card is with the puck on his stick, he isn’t a one dimensional offensive defenseman as he uses good hockey sense to read plays both ways. Johansen still requires work on his defensive reads as he can be caught trying to be too fancy rather than make the simple play.

Our Take:

The younger brother of Nashville Predators centre Ryan Johansen, Lucas comes in as the 48th ranked draft eligible player in our Nation Network consensus rankings. Lucas is a defenceman who likes to carry the puck out of his zone with hopes of creating offence in transition. The young rearguard is very adapt at avoiding putting himself in a bad situation in the defensive zone.

What is apparent for Johansen, is that he doesn’t have one trait that is overrides all his other skills. He is a good skater, with sound defensive awareness and valuable offensive instincts. This isn’t a bad thing, because defenceman like that are needed in NHL organizations. In the future, if there is any injury anywhere in a team’s top 6, Johansen could easily slide in and play any role. This is obviously projecting well into the future, but it does look favourably on Johansen entering into the 2016 NHL Entry Draft.

Given his size, at 6’1″ and 179 lbs, Johansen is well on his way to having an NHL frame and given his skating abilities and awareness, he may be able to make the transition to the pro ranks well. 

Looking at his pGPS, an impressive 40.7% went onto becoming NHL regulars. When looking at that, you aren’t going to get better dice rolls.

Johansen is someone that I’ve been following throughout the majority of the season, and while talking to many different scouts, the same theme I mentioned above stuck out – Johansen isn’t particularly elite at one aspect but will help to in all three zone and doesn’t hurt your team in any way. If I am a team looking to supplement your defensive prospect pool in the second round, Johansen is worth the selection as he just seems to have such a chance of being an NHL player in any capacity in the future.

47. Chad Krys

Bio:

  • Age: 18, 1998-04-10
  • Birthplace: Philadelphia, P.A., United States
  • Frame: 5’11” 183 lbs.
  • Position: D
  • Handedness: L
  • Draft Year Team: USNTDP
  • Accomplishments/Awards: 2015/16 WJHC Bronze Medal, 2015/16 U18 WJC Bronze Medal, USHL All-Rookie Second Team (2014-15), U17 WHC Silver Medal

Stats:

Screen Shot 2016-05-05 at 10.20.28 AM

pGPS n pGPS s pGPS % pGPS P/GP pGPS R
13 2 15.38% 0.3439 0.0529

Scouts:

NHL CSS ISS Future Considerations Hockey Prospect McKeen’s Button
53 (NA) N/A N/A N/A N/A 86

Steve Kournianos – Draft Analyst:

Connecticut-born defenseman who like most NTDP blueliners has to limit the amount of offense he can provide due to skill in depth on the forward lines. Krys is also committed to Boston University for next season, and played a support role on Team USA during its bronze medal run at the recent WJC’s. He’s not the biggest or the baddest defender, but he has shown the ability to play smart and do the little things necessary to win. He’s mobile and can run the power play, but at this stage he’s still raw and needs to learn the nuances of the position.

Our Take:

Another defenceman who was in the conversation as a potential first round pick in the early parts of the season, Chad Krys had a very good season for the USDP National Program. He finished the program with 78 points (9-69-78) in 116 games, finishing only behind other 2016 draft hopeful Adam Fox in all time scoring amongst defenceman. Krys did have more points than some very notable names, including Seth Jones (62 PTS in 109 games), Charlie McAvoy (59  PTS in 117 games) and Will Butcher (70 PTS in 123 games). Age of those players and role has to be taken into context when comparing, but regardless he is amongst some pretty good company.

Krys is well regarded for his offensive game and skating abilities, but will need some time to develop and round out his defensive game. The Philadelphia native will attend Boston University next season, with hopes of rounding out his game there.

When we look at the pGPS for Krys, 15.38% went onto becoming NHL regulars. This in part has to due to the small pool of players that can be compared, the USDP is still fairly new and thus there wasn’t the depth of talent in the past, and the more recent successful players are still quite young thus are still developing or just getting their feet wet in the NHL. 

I have seen Krys projected in the late first round in a few mock drafts, and it wouldn’t be a shock to see Krys move up in the rankings. He has a tantalizing package that if a team thinks he can round out his game at Boston University, is worth the risk.


Tomorrow, we start with individual profiles on the top 46 consensus picks. 


  • ChimDawg

    I know you guys have them rated at the lower end of the 2nd round, but I can’t say i’d be disappointed to grab one of these guys at 33, especially the RHD Green or Allard

    Trading down to approx 40 and 60-65 from 33 to grab one of these guys could be awesome. I could be wrong, but I remember Benning saying he thought the 2/3/4 rounds are deeper this year than the 2015 draft, so it may be a good idea to trade down to stockpile some picks.

  • SJ

    I like Johansen from this group. That is my expert opinion. He ticks most of the boxes for a Canucks 2nd round pick at the moment, too. Local kid, defenseman that isn’t too small, etc.