Winnipeg Jets By The Numbers: Adam Pardy 2014-2015

The season has been laid to rest.

Fans have completed their lamenting of the Anaheim Ducks sweeping the Winnipeg Jets. The healing process has begun.

But, before full closure can be completed, an autopsy of the Jets season must be initiated.

We turn our evidence-based breakdown of the Jets depth defenseman, Adam Pardy.

The Basics

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Numbers include all situations including non 5v5 TOI.

Adam Pardy has never been, and never will be, an offensively gifted defenseman. He does however eat minutes as reliable bottom rung defender.


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Graph courtesy of WAR-on-Ice.

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Rankings are out of the Jets 11 defenders with 50+ 5v5 minutes, except special team minutes are 4 players for power play and 7 players for penalty kill.

When it comes to even strength minutes, Paul Maurice didn’t display too much confidence in Adam Pardy. He played the lowest amount of ice time against the other team’s bottom lines and was rarely deployed in the defensive zone.

Maurice did however trust Pardy defensively on the penalty kill, playing him more often than anyone except Mark Stuart and Jacob Trouba.

An interesting dichotomy.

Underlying Numbers

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Despite not being trusted, Pardy performed relatively well compared to his ice time cohorts.

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Visual courtesy of Micah McCurdy.

Pardy spent the bulk of the early season with Jets underrated defenseman Paul Postma. They performed extremely well in both shots and goals, except for the last eight games or so.

Pardy went on to being a healthy scratch, but returned to play with Ben Chiarot with less than stellar results. Pardy then moved on to play with Jay Harrison, where the two did well in protected minutes.

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While Pardy did not score any goals, or put up a tonne of points, he did pace at an above average point rate relative to his minutes for a third pair defenseman.

Last season Pardy performed exceptionally well in the shot metrics, but this year was not quite the same. The Jets out attempted their opponents with Pardy on the ice, but did even better with him on the bench. Pardy was near zero for dCorsi, so he is unlikely to carry much tougher assignments.

While Corsi usually out performs other shot metrics in predicting future goal differentials, Fenwick (Corsi without blocked shots) tends to do a bit better for full season or larger samples with defensemen. Fenwick suggests that Corsi may be over estimating Pardy’s impact on goal differentials through shot metrics.

Goals Above Replacement suggests that Pardy had a relatively negative impact on the Jets goal differentials.

Final Thoughts

Adam Pardy performed as good as you would want for a depth defenseman through his 60 games for the Jets over the 2013-14 season. His strong showing earned him another contract with the Jets. Unfortunately he wasn’t as effective this season.

If you combine the results between the two he still seems like a decent option for a number seven. How he performs in the future is questionable though with aging.