Pavelec Performance Tracker: Midway Update

Travis Hrubeniuk
January 06 2014 11:44AM

I feel like the time for me to provide an update on these numbers always comes perfectly. Once again it’s update time and Jets fans everywhere are fully entrenched in one of the biggest Pavelec debates to date.

For those of you who aren’t aware, Pro-Pavelec folk like to claim that the controversial goaltender is actually much better than every stat says. They stand strong with the fact that it’s the team that lets him down, leaves him out to dry, and therefore drags his numbers down. Anti-Pavelec folk are skeptical that every team he has ever played for has been so poor defensively that his numbers have been permanently below average. They point to save percentage and situational stats to suggest he might be worse than average back-ups at the NHL level.

In an attempt to provide more insight, I have tracked and evaluated every goal scored on the Winnipeg Jets this year and have made judgment calls in regards to the situation, why the puck went in, and where the puck went. It's still subjective to some extent, but gives us a collective and quantified memory for what's happened as the season blurs together over time. Here for you today is what I have found up to the 43-game mark (I haven’t had a chance to watch the games against Boston and Pittsburgh yet).

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Jets Post-Game 45: Barn Burner

Kevin McCartney
January 05 2014 11:23PM

 

The Jets played a thrilling afternoon game against the high-scoring Penguins, as both teams took advantage of the depth players on the other side to work the twine. 

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JGD 45: The Drawing Board

Kevin McCartney
January 05 2014 02:46AM

The Jets' loss to Ottawa put them back at .500 hockey, and another loss to Boston makes this a forgettable road trip. It's 44 games in, and the club is back where it started on that hopeful October night in Edmonton. 

But not everyone is back at the beginning. The Jets have 37 games to overcome a 6 point deficit to a team with three games in hand for a Wildcard playoff spot. They'll need to leap-frog two Division rivals to do it. And their opponent today? The Penguins are 18 points clear of the Jets in one fewer game and stand atop the Metropolitan Division. With a +38 goal differential, the Penguins stand alongside the Bruins as the best Eastern Conference team the Jets have faced. 

Much more than the East/West split so often reported in the Jets' rate of success this season, quality of team has been the primary driver of wins and losses. The Jets are just 10-15-3 against 'Quality' teams, or teams that have more points than games played. Five of those ten wins were in the shootout, and another two in overtime. The Jets have managed just 3 regulation wins against teams with more points than games played. 

In contrast, their record is 9-5-2 against teams on pace for 82 points or fewer. That includes zero shootout wins - all 9 were in regulation. In their final 37 contests, the Jets face 'Quality' teams 27 times. It might get ugly.

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Friday Five-Hole: Olympics, and Juniors, and Back-Ups, Oh My

Rhys Finnick
January 03 2014 12:04PM

Diabetics need not apply 

This weekly column looks to discuss a certain number of relevant Jets topics on a certain day of the week. That certain number? Five. That day of the week? Friday. Also, hole. This is the Friday Five-Hole.

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Jets Scoring Chances: Midseason Review

Travis Hrubeniuk
January 03 2014 10:16AM

This week the Jets surpassed the 41-game midway point of the NHL season and I can’t think of a better time than now to give you all a half season update on the Jets scoring chance numbers. Just to be clear, this data if from the first 41 games of the season and therefore doesn’t include the Jets last couple games. Check here for my 20 game update so you can understand my reference points.

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