The Return of Draft Analytics: The Prospect Graduation Probabilities System (pGPS)

Jeremy Davis
May 04 2016 02:55PM


The ability to predict the success of hockey prospects at young ages has long been a goal in the business of hockey. Now more than ever, the success of young players is directly related to the success of an NHL team. For the most part, rosters are built through the draft, rather than trades and free agency. Knowing who will is likely to be successful and who is likely to fail can be the difference between winning and losing in the future - and that can subsequently be the difference between employment and unemployment for the person who is choosing the players.

It wasn't that long ago (although it seems like ages) that Canucks Army had access to such a tool. PCS, the Prospect Cohort Success project developed by Money Puck and Josh Weissbock, used historical data to project players in the here and now. Unfortunately, we lost access to the system when those two were hired by the Florida Panthers.

As you may have noticed, we've been using comparable percentages to assess prospects again over the past couple of months, beginning with this article here. It's been a bit of a mystery until now, but it's time to pull back the curtain. Draft and prospect analytics are returning to Canucks Army and the Nation Network. This is not a rebirth of PCS, but instead an alternative, using similar underlying principles.

This is pGPS: the prospect Graduation Probabilities System.

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Re-drafting the 1st Round of the 2015 NHL Entry Draft

Ryan Biech
May 03 2016 08:00AM

Tomorrow we kick off our draft coverage with in depth profiles of the top 60 ranked players from the 2016 NHL draft class, but before we get that started, I figured it would be a worthwhile venture to look back at the 2015 NHL Entry Draft one year later.

The Hockey News did a similar thing last week, but it was still based on a subjective polling of scouts looking at the players. This is to say that there's likely a few players slotted way above their appropriate mark. We need a more objective measure to really drive the conversation, and I hope to provide just that with a series of stature and statistics based players with which to compare the next wave against. 

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Jets Win The (Second) Draft Lottery: Twitter Reacts To Laine

Art Middleton
May 01 2016 08:30AM

Sure, there was a lot of talk about the Toronto Maple Leafs winning the first NHL draft lottery Saturday night, and almost just as much talk that the Oilers didn't win a top three pick. So it can seem like the Winnipeg Jets winning the second lotto and thus the second pick of the draft was a tad overlooked.

But while Twitter didn't break with the Jets making the huge jump, the idea of Finnish dynamo Patrik Laine heading to The Peg did get quite a few people talking on social media..

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A quick look at Patrik Laine

Garret Hohl
April 30 2016 09:21PM

The Draft Lottery sent the Winnipeg Jets rocketing up to the second overall selection in the 2016 NHL Entry Draft. This marks the highest selection since the franchised moved to the Central Canada, which also suggest the Jets 2.0 are about to garner their best prospect addition yet.

The general consensus is Patrik Laine will be the best skater available at the second overall pick.

Let's take a look at what this blue-chip winger has to offer.

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Winnipeg Jets win second place in draft lottery

Garret Hohl
April 30 2016 06:21PM

While the Winnipeg Jets were not able to win the coveted first overall pick, the lottery sent the Jets forward and pushed the team into the top three with the second overall selection for the 2016 NHL Entry Draft.

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