Game #32: Serenity Now

Kevin McCartney
March 22 2013 02:35PM

Washington Capitals (13-16-1) at

Your Winnipeg Jets (16-13-2)

Last Meeting: March 21, Jets 0 - Capitals 4

Broadcast: TV - CBC 6pm (CT)

Preview

Wow. Just wow. Really Clitsome? Just 20 shots?! 3 powerplays and Steve Oleksy on the ice for 16 minutes and no goals?!?!

Breathe.

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Game #31: A Capital Opportunity

Kevin McCartney
March 21 2013 03:24PM

 

Washington Capitals (12-16-1) at

Your Winnipeg Jets (16-12-2)

Last Meeting: March 2, Jets 0 - Capitals 3

Broadcast: TV - TSN Jets 7pm (CT)

Preview

This is game one of a home-and-home, back-to-back against the Capitals. With just 18 games remaining and Carolina on our heels, we have no choice but to maintain our hyperbole in proportion to our hope for the #3 seed by proclaiming this another must-win. But seriously, this one is a must-win, for vanity if nothing else. The Capitals enter as the 2nd worst team in the league-wide standings – interrupting the perennial battle between the Islanders and Blue Jackets for the right to make the first reach pick of the draft – while the Jets are seeking to prove they’re a playoff team after entering March with an underwhelming 9-9-1 record and a -6 goal differential. Just… let’s… come on, guys.

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Jets Trade Targets: (you won't like it)

Kevin McCartney
March 20 2013 08:29PM

 

As the trade deadline approaches, the Jets are flirting with a Division Title. Though the focus is still building from within, the team sits in a position to buy for a playoff birth and even a banner raising come October. Sure it's the Southeast Division Champion banner, but thanks to realignment, our kids won't know that isn't impressive. 

In the next couple weeks, we'll trot out some ideas for trade targets for the Jets in the hopes of being able to say 'I told you so' later on. In this installment, the much maligned and always controversial Dustin Penner.

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Game # 30 - Bruin Battling

Brett Martin
March 19 2013 04:18PM

                              

It's Hockey NIght in Winnipeg tonight as your Winnipeg Jets face-off against the 2010 Stanley Cup Champion Boston Bruins live from the MTS Center in a battle between two teams trying to get themselves back into First place in their respective divisions. Can the Jets win and leapfrog over the Hurricanes for the Division lead? WIll the Bruins eke a third Victory against Blake Wheeler and the Gang and overtake Les Canadiens for 1st place? Tonight we find out.

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#freeburmi

Travis Hrubeniuk
March 19 2013 09:39AM

Winnipeg Jets

Dear Coach Noel,

Enough is enough. It is time sir. It is time to get Alex Burmistrov back in the lineup. Listen, I hear you. I understand that he wasn’t buying in, he has not been acting in the mature, respectable way that he really should be, and you had to do something about it. I understand that the room was openly behind you in this, and heck, if he really has been that bad I was behind you for maybe a game or two. Your plan even worked! Four straight wins and a climb up the standings is more than enough evidence that your lineup is working.

Well, that is if you call 3 forward lines a real “lineup”.

Yes, Patrice Cormier probably did deserve a shot. He has played reasonably well out on the farm this year, and didn’t really get a good chance in the shortened training camp. But do you really consider playing 3:48 a game a fair chance? A mere 6 shifts a game? Can you really afford to have him giving the puck away in a fourth line role?

It didn’t work so well Sunday afternoon. His sloppy play did lead to Ottawa’s second goal in case you forgot.

Need more? Well, let’s play with some stats.

First, how about we take a look at what would happen if we did a simple swap. Burmi for Cormier. How do you think Cormier’s current line mates performance’s 5 on 5 change if you make this swap?

w/ Cormier

CF20

CA20

CF%

Tangradi

14.17

24.28

36.8

Thorburn

18.00

18.00

50.0

w/ Burmistrov

CF20

CA20

CF%

Tangradi

9.51

14.26

40.0

Thorburn

15.22

12.69

54.5

CF20 – Corsi for per 20 minutes of ice time
CA20 – Corsi against per 20 minutes of ice time
CF% - Corsi for percentage [Corsi for / (Corsi for + Corsi against)]

 

Looks to me like your fourth line might actually improve a little bit. I’m sure Chris and Eric would love the opportunity to play a little more. I mean, you did after all have Burmi averaging 16:05 a game before he hit the bench.

Now, what about the other forwards? I wonder how Alex compares to them. Let’s ask our friends at behindthenet how he compares to other Jet forwards 5 on 5 who have played at least 10 games:

Stat

Value

Player Rank

Relative Corsi

6.5

2nd

Corsi Rel QoC

0.317

6th

Penalties Drawn/60

1.0

4th

Off. Zone Start

55.6%

3rd

Off. Zone Finish

55.8%

2nd

This is what the guys at stats.hockeyanalysis.com had to say, when we compared Burmi to Jets forwards who have played at least 200 minutes at 5 on 5:

Stat

Value

Player Rank

GF20

0.692

6th

GA20

0.346

1st

TMGF20

0.729

7th

TMGA20

0.924

3rd

GF20 – Goals scored by team while player is on the ice per 20 minutes
GA20 – Goals scored against team while player is on the ice per 20 minutes
TMGF20 – The average GF20 of players line mates when not with him
TMGA20 – The average GA20 of the players line mates when not with him

 

And just for fun, here are his basic stats among all Jets forwards, from NHL.com:

Stat

Value

Player Rank

Goals

3

7th

Assists

4

8th

Points

7

7th

Points/Game

0.28

10th

+/-

+6

4th

You know what I see in all of this Coach? I see a guy who may not put the puck in the net as much as you may like, but who acts as one of your best defensive forwards. You often start him in the offensive zone against what is probably the other teams second line, and he generally keeps the puck down there.

I’m sure you will agree when I say that plus/minus is a pretty questionable stat, but hey, he only has 7 points and is still a +6. When you look at the fact that he is leading the team in goals against per period and is second in relative corsi, it is no surprise. The puck simply doesn’t go in your net as much when he is on the ice. In fact, when he is off the ice, the teams goals against per period sky rockets to .924, a stat the he is third on the team for.

Remind me, wasn’t it an improved defensive mindset that you wanted this team to have coming into the season?

Coach, I do like you and I respect you. I think you’re a funny guy, and usually, you have done things that I do understand and agree with. But right now Mr. Noel I do not agree. Give Alex a chance to show you that he can play the style you want. Let him show you that he is maturing, and that he is a major contributor to this team.

Please Coach, for the good of us all, just #freeburmi.

Sincerely,

Travis

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