#freeburmi

Travis Hrubeniuk
March 19 2013 09:39AM

Winnipeg Jets

Dear Coach Noel,

Enough is enough. It is time sir. It is time to get Alex Burmistrov back in the lineup. Listen, I hear you. I understand that he wasn’t buying in, he has not been acting in the mature, respectable way that he really should be, and you had to do something about it. I understand that the room was openly behind you in this, and heck, if he really has been that bad I was behind you for maybe a game or two. Your plan even worked! Four straight wins and a climb up the standings is more than enough evidence that your lineup is working.

Well, that is if you call 3 forward lines a real “lineup”.

Yes, Patrice Cormier probably did deserve a shot. He has played reasonably well out on the farm this year, and didn’t really get a good chance in the shortened training camp. But do you really consider playing 3:48 a game a fair chance? A mere 6 shifts a game? Can you really afford to have him giving the puck away in a fourth line role?

It didn’t work so well Sunday afternoon. His sloppy play did lead to Ottawa’s second goal in case you forgot.

Need more? Well, let’s play with some stats.

First, how about we take a look at what would happen if we did a simple swap. Burmi for Cormier. How do you think Cormier’s current line mates performance’s 5 on 5 change if you make this swap?

w/ Cormier

CF20

CA20

CF%

Tangradi

14.17

24.28

36.8

Thorburn

18.00

18.00

50.0

w/ Burmistrov

CF20

CA20

CF%

Tangradi

9.51

14.26

40.0

Thorburn

15.22

12.69

54.5

CF20 – Corsi for per 20 minutes of ice time
CA20 – Corsi against per 20 minutes of ice time
CF% - Corsi for percentage [Corsi for / (Corsi for + Corsi against)]

 

Looks to me like your fourth line might actually improve a little bit. I’m sure Chris and Eric would love the opportunity to play a little more. I mean, you did after all have Burmi averaging 16:05 a game before he hit the bench.

Now, what about the other forwards? I wonder how Alex compares to them. Let’s ask our friends at behindthenet how he compares to other Jet forwards 5 on 5 who have played at least 10 games:

Stat

Value

Player Rank

Relative Corsi

6.5

2nd

Corsi Rel QoC

0.317

6th

Penalties Drawn/60

1.0

4th

Off. Zone Start

55.6%

3rd

Off. Zone Finish

55.8%

2nd

This is what the guys at stats.hockeyanalysis.com had to say, when we compared Burmi to Jets forwards who have played at least 200 minutes at 5 on 5:

Stat

Value

Player Rank

GF20

0.692

6th

GA20

0.346

1st

TMGF20

0.729

7th

TMGA20

0.924

3rd

GF20 – Goals scored by team while player is on the ice per 20 minutes
GA20 – Goals scored against team while player is on the ice per 20 minutes
TMGF20 – The average GF20 of players line mates when not with him
TMGA20 – The average GA20 of the players line mates when not with him

 

And just for fun, here are his basic stats among all Jets forwards, from NHL.com:

Stat

Value

Player Rank

Goals

3

7th

Assists

4

8th

Points

7

7th

Points/Game

0.28

10th

+/-

+6

4th

You know what I see in all of this Coach? I see a guy who may not put the puck in the net as much as you may like, but who acts as one of your best defensive forwards. You often start him in the offensive zone against what is probably the other teams second line, and he generally keeps the puck down there.

I’m sure you will agree when I say that plus/minus is a pretty questionable stat, but hey, he only has 7 points and is still a +6. When you look at the fact that he is leading the team in goals against per period and is second in relative corsi, it is no surprise. The puck simply doesn’t go in your net as much when he is on the ice. In fact, when he is off the ice, the teams goals against per period sky rockets to .924, a stat the he is third on the team for.

Remind me, wasn’t it an improved defensive mindset that you wanted this team to have coming into the season?

Coach, I do like you and I respect you. I think you’re a funny guy, and usually, you have done things that I do understand and agree with. But right now Mr. Noel I do not agree. Give Alex a chance to show you that he can play the style you want. Let him show you that he is maturing, and that he is a major contributor to this team.

Please Coach, for the good of us all, just #freeburmi.

Sincerely,

Travis

Read Article | 5 Comments

Jets Trade Targets: Nikolai Kulemin

Kevin McCartney
March 18 2013 02:42PM

    

As the trade deadline approaches, the Jets are flirting with a Division Title. Though the focus is still building from within, the team sits in a position to buy for a playoff birth and even a banner raising come October. Sure it's the South East Division Champion banner, but thanks to realignment, our kids won't know that isn't impressive. 

In the next couple weeks, we'll trot out some ideas for trade targets for the Jets in the hopes of being able to say 'I told you so' later on. First up, Nikolai Kulemin.

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Game #29 At Ottawa: First in the Southeast

Travis Hrubeniuk
March 17 2013 12:37PM

EvanderKane
 
Ottawa Senators (14-8-6) Vs.
Your Winnipeg Jets (15-11-2)
 
Last Meeting:
February 9th, Jets 1 - Sens 0
 
Broadcast:
TV: TSN Jets
Puck Drop: 4:00 (CT)

Preview

Things really seem to be going well for the Winnipeg Jets as of late. How well you ask? So well that the boys managed to blow a 4-1 lead and still win in a 10 round shootout, have a goaltender that ranks 30th in GAA and 31st in Sv%, and a power play that has lately been featuring the skills of Kyle Wellwood and Nik Antropov, yet still have been playing well enough to sit 3rd in the Eastern Conference and have a 7-2-1 record in their last ten.

Both teams come into today’s game on the second game of back to backs, as Ottawa beat Buffalo in OT last night, which put an end to a 2 games losing streak. With injuries to the likes of Jason Spezza, Erik Karlsson and Craig Anderson, it’s safe to say that this is not the same team that the Jets faced over a month ago. Yet, the Sens have managed to maintain a decent position in the standings without their stars, and sit 2 points up on the Jets before this afternoons contest.

The winner of this game will take the season series, which could end up being huge in the extremely tight race that is the Eastern Conference right now. It also allows an opportunity for the Jets to create more of a cushion between themselves and the Carolina Hurricanes, who sit one point back with a game in hand. The Jets have a reputation of going on slides once they reach a high point in the standings, so let’s up they can push past that and get a win in Ottawa today.

By The Numbers

 

Sens

Jets

5x5 GF/60

2.0

2.4

5x5 GA/60

1.9

2.6

Goals by Period

16 – 30 – 18

18 – 31 – 23

Fenwick (5x5 Close)

50.28 (19th)

50.36 (18th)

PDO

1000

992

 

Home

Away

Home

Away

PP%

16.7% (22nd)

20.4% (7th)

15.4% (24th)

14.0% (20th)

PK%

88.6% (5th)

88.1% (2nd)

79.3% (22nd)

78.2% (21st)

Top Scorer

Kyle Turris

13GP, 3-5-8

Sergei Gonchar

14GP,0-11-11

Andrew Ladd

12GP, 8-5-13

Andrew Ladd

16GP, 6-9-15

Lineups

Your Winnipeg Jets

Ladd - Little - Wheeler
Kane - Jokinen - Miettinen
Antropov - Wellwood - Wright
Thorburn - Cormier - Tangradi
 
Clitsome - Byfuglien
Hainsey - Bogosian
Stuart - Meech
 
Pavelec
 

Ottawa Senators

Latendresse - Turris - Alfredsson
Neil - Greening - Smith
Silfverberg - Zibanejad - Condra
Kassian - Regin - Obrien
 
Phillips - Gryba
Methot - Gonchar
Wiercioch - Benoit
 
Lehner
 

This could be a game that you see Burmistrov re-enter the lineup. Cormier has not been playing very much on that fourth line (he saw 4:28 yesterday, and only one shift in the third) and you have to think that the message has been sent. That being said, you don’t always want to mess with success.

The Sens on the other hand ride their top line like no other. According to leftwinglock, Latendresse and Alfredsson play both first and third line roles on the wing, with Smith and Turris both spending time centering them.  The rest of the wingers tend to get minor ice time in a constant roatation, so it is clear who they rely on.  With the second change this afternoon it’ll be key to watch how Coach Noel approaches this, and it may be interesting to see if Ladd - Little - and Wheeler put up some season high minutes. It could also mean that the Antropov - Wellwood - Wright line will have a good opportunity to continue their solid play, as they will have opportunities against relatively inexperienced lines.

Coach’s Coaching

Jets

Get Ready to Grind

The Sens have played eleven straight one goal games. Get yourselves ready to play a long, hard road game against a team that has nothing to lose. Nobody expected the Sens to keep winning after losing so many stars, but they have kept on trucking and play hard every night.

Shoot, Shoot, Shoot

The Sens are 4th in the league in 5 on 5 goals against and GA/60min, so don’t expect to light up the scoreboard. The Jets need to push, and push hard, all game long and not hang their heads in something doesn’t work. In two games against this team they have only scored 2 goals. It’s going to be something nasty and hard earned that goes in, not a flashy dangle.

Sens

Go Top Glove

Pav has been better as of late, but struggled last night against the Leafs. Lupul’s game opener was a pretty weak goal to the glove side, and it HAS to be known now that the glove hand is where you go. For as good as the Sens are at keeping the puck out of their net, they equally struggle putting it in, so take advantage of any weakness you can.

Don’t Underestimate the Jets

The Sens are an impressive 9-1-3 this year at home. They have every reason to be confident in their own building, and it should give them a boost for a rough afternoon game today. What they cannot forget though is that the Jets are an equally impressive 9-5-2 on the road, and can play among the best in the league when they want to.

All signs point towards a good, low scoring game tonight. It really should be a dandy.

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Live Tweeting the Leafs-Jets: Join us!

Kevin McCartney
March 16 2013 01:06PM

                      

We're Live Tweeting!

Jets Nation just joined twitter! To celebrate our arrival in the world, Travis and I (and maybe Brett!) are going to be chatting on twitter tonight during the game with the hashtag #JetsLeafs. Our friends over at Arctic Ice Hockey are going to join us for some Leafs mulching, hockey insight, and probably more than a few jokes we'll all regret in the morning. We're even hoping to trick some Leafs Nationals into talking to us. But they have a limited window as it gets hard to see your screen through teary eyes (pre-game zing! I expect the zing vs. burn rivalry to commence any day now).

We'd love your company in our corner of the twitter universe, so find us with #JetsLeafs

If you're not already following us or them, click all these links and make some friends.

@nhljetsnation
@kevinmccart
@thrubeniuk
@brettmartinlive

 

@arcticicehockey
@tj_maughan
@arby_18
@YawAxis

 

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Game #28 at Toronto: Under the Big Lights

Kevin McCartney
March 16 2013 12:25PM

       

Toronto Maple Leafs (15-12-1) vs

Your Winnipeg Jets (14-11-2) 

Last Meeting:
March 12, Jets 5 - Leafs 2
 
Broadcast:
TV: CBC Hockey Night in Canada
Puck Drop: 6:00 (CT)
Live tweeting!: @nhljetsnation

Preview

After a high-tempo, frenetic win over Toronto on Tuesday, the Jets are landing in the centre of the universe just one point back of the Leafs for 7th place in the East. No doubt we'll hear a lot today about teams going in different directions - and it's hard to ignore a Jets team with wins in 10 of their last 13, and similarly hard not to notice when a Toronto team starts struggling, especially when the coach refuses to ice what seems to be the best possible roster, or even acknowledge who his best players are. Still, the real story of the game is likely to be that of a changed system on the part of the Jets and goaltending at both ends. 

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