Jets Adjusted Corsi by Forward Line: The Role of Coaching Choices

Kevin McCartney
August 12 2013 06:02AM

Photo brilliance by thereturn at HF Boards

One of the challenges with measuring process-based metrics like corsi - a measure of possession and territory that correlates well with scoring chances - is that we have stats at the team level and at the individual level. It's a moving target to try to put these two levels of data into the context of a 5 on 5 game when individuals switch every 40-50 seconds at the desire of a person we don't measure. We've made huge strides - and the WOWY (With or Without You) data over at Hockey Analytics is part of that. 

Another part of that was offered by Travis Yost at NHL Numbers the other week - team by team corsi according to forward tiers (Eastern Conf / Western Conf). Grouping forwards into lines by EV time on ice, Travis gives us a sense of how teams are built and shows very strong evidence that to win, teams need depth.

His methodology is sound in general - using even strength time on ice to sort out the 'tiers' of forwards - but hides an important reality about how the Jets were coached. Below we'll look at his chart for the Jets and compare it to a purposeful grouping of the forwards into approximate lines.

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Story Time

Jason Strudwick
August 11 2013 12:51PM

All this Gretzky trade talk the last week stirred up the old story machine in my head. Looking at some of the other players involved in the trade I ran across Marty McSorley's name.

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Advanced Stats All-Stars Vs. Over-Hyped Hitting Machines!

Kevin McCartney
August 09 2013 06:36AM

Photo by clydeorama

We bloggers can be a serious people. But it’s August. We’re all sitting in hammocks with a cold beer reading Vollman’s new Hockey Abstract on our tablets to avoid equally Screen Deprivation Anxiety and the chance of the sun reaching our pale, pale skin. It’s a time we can relax and stand to laugh at ourselves just a little.

Which is great because let’s face it, honoured readers, we bloggers sometimes pick odd players to love based on process related metrics. Just look at this great one by me on Eric Tangradi. I thought that guy might work out and felt genuine excitement about it. What a dummy.

But we’re not alone! Our professional partners in print and those of the Sound-Making Media have some hilarious ideas about how hockey works and who is good at it. Where bloggers use incredulity, the mainsteam media is using hype. And we’re all ridiculous!

I think readers can agree there’s no better way to see our foibles than holding an All-Star game. That’s right, The Kyle Wellwood’s Career Memorial All-Stars face off against The Post Hoc Ergo Propter Hawks!

So relax and have a laugh at yourself. And others. (If you have a horse in this race, it’s okay to laugh just a little harder at the others to keep the self-doubt at bay.)

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Jets Depth Chart in August: Defencemen

Kevin McCartney
August 08 2013 02:10PM

 

Now Jets Defensive Coach Charlie Huddy. Photo by FanofPucks

Ah the glory days of summer when depression about one's hockey club is pure and untainted by Seasonal Affective Disorder. 

On Monday we looked at the forward depth chart for the Jets, and today we address the defence. If the season started today, who would the Jets ice? We'll look at some context and possible training camp scenarios before we end with a group hug and a link to a support network.

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The Jets and Patience

Travis Hrubeniuk
August 07 2013 09:23PM

      

The word patience is really starting to annoy me. It has been thrown around Winnipeg sport franchises like no other as of late, and it has me really questioning how much longer fans in the city have to deal with it. The misconception that "just having a team back" is enough should really be wearing off soon, but it seems as if Chevy & Co. are going to hold on to it for as long as the majority of the fan base finds it acceptable. Therefore, I ask you - Do the Jets really deserve our patience any longer, or is it time to expect winning and playoff births from this team?

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