Draft Theory: On Risk and Reward

Garret Hohl
May 12 2015 12:30PM

As the 2015 NHL Entry Draft quickly approaches us, we look more into draft theory and discuss processes that allow one to maximize their success.

Most draft services open to the public will discuss two factors in a prospect: risk and reward.

The higher a player's ceiling, the more potential reward a prospect has. While sometimes this varies, for the most part public third party scouting services agree on upside with each other, the numbers, and how players historically turn out.

There does seem to be an inefficiency though, and that is in determining risk. The more one immerses themselves in draft analytics the more one discovers that their is a flaw in risk assessment.

Here are two players familiar to Winnipeg Jets fans to represent this difference.

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Winnipeg Jets By The Numbers: Andrew Ladd 2014-2015

Garret Hohl
May 12 2015 06:30AM

The season has been laid to rest.

Fans have completed their lamenting of the Anaheim Ducks sweeping the Winnipeg Jets. The healing process has begun.

But, before full closure can be completed, an autopsy of the Jets season must be initiated.

We turn our evidence-based breakdown of the Jets season with the captain and leader, Andrew Ladd.

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Winnipeg Jets By The Numbers: Adam Lowry 2014-2015

Garret Hohl
May 11 2015 05:30AM

The season has been laid to rest.

Fans have completed their lamenting of the Anaheim Ducks sweeping the Winnipeg Jets. The healing process has begun.

But, before full closure can be completed, an autopsy of the Jets season must be initiated.

We start our evidence-based breakdown of the Jets season with 21-year-old rookie, Adam Lowry.

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HOW GOOD IS MIKKO RANTANEN?

Lowetide
May 09 2015 07:00AM

Mikko Rantanen is a quality two-way winger who played in a top pro league (SM-Liiga) at age 18. His output in the Finnish elite league (56GP, 9-19-28) suggests real offensive ability.

How good is Mikko Rantanen?

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The Eye-Test and Dustin Byfuglien's Impact on Jets

Garret Hohl
May 08 2015 02:41PM

Dustin Byfuglien --like many of the Winnipeg Jets' best players-- is a pretty controversial player. You either love him and think he's the best, or you just out right hate him.

Regardless of which category one falls in line with, almost all agree that the Big Buff has a tonne of talent in many areas but struggles in others. Very few will deny his offensive prowess, and almost everyone can remember at least one moment where a dangerous play evolves from a defensive miscue.

Which camp you lie in depends on your opinion of whether or not his strengths overcome his weaknesses.

Let's take a look at the numbers.

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