An Attempt At A Defensive Puck Possession Metric

JP Nikota
October 28 2011 09:22AM

I've been scratching my head for a while now, trying to come up with a puck possession metric that focuses on defense rather than offense-driven numbers. I mean, if you're Anton Volchenkov, you might be responsible for preventing a lot of goals, but there's always the chance that last year's New Jersey forwards were incapable of putting shots on the opposition's net, and that your Corsi numbers look bad. What's a defensive defenseman to do? There's got to be a way of measuring defensive contributions that isn't tied to shots or goals.

So here's my rationale: only the puck carrier can be hit, so if there is a lot of hitting in your end of the ice, the puck must be there a lot, right? Even if your team has the puck, and is getting hit a lot in their zone, doesn't that mean that you're struggling to get out? Leafs fans should certainly remember last year's broken-record recording of "to the line, but not out", so anecdotally, anyway, this makes sense. 

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Six thoughts 10/27/11 Jets 9-8 Flyers

Cam Charron
October 27 2011 08:12PM

An absolutely wild win for the Winnipeg Jets in Philadelphia tonight. They blew 5-1 and 6-2 leads (I'm still not sold on whether or not that counts as two 4-goal leads) and somehow ended up with a 9-8 win despite being horribly outshot and, by proxy, out-chanced. It took a while to narrow these thoughts down to six.

It felt like a game from the 1980s, except for the Cooperalls.

-It was nice for Winnipeg to get off to a quick start. Chris Thorburn was robbed right off the hop by virtue of the Flyers not having a net cam in the right end of the ice, but they got a couple of good bounces off deflections leading to goals early on and scoring wasn't a real issue for the Jets in this one. It was defense and goaltending that were the problems, and maybe even a little bit on offense. Despite the 9 goals, the Jets only managed 25 shots on net and 43 attempts (I set a baseline at around 55 for a game).

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Broad Street Return – Jets v Flyers

Dean Belanger
October 27 2011 03:30PM

Mean S.O.B! 

Tonight the Jets are back in action after a couple of days of playing the Philadelphia Flyers in Philly. Once again the Jets face a team playing the second game of a back to back. Last Saturday they faced the Hurricanes in the same scenario and took it to Carolina. Tonight will be a much tougher test.

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Jets Start Long Road Trip As Kane Denies Rumours

Jonathan Willis
October 27 2011 03:26PM

The Jets’ longest road trip of the season kicks off tonight in Philadelphia, but most of the attention has been focused on reports that promising forward Evander Kane wants a trade.

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Everything You Ever Wanted To Know About Dustin Byfuglien But Were Afraid To Ask

Jonathan Willis
October 25 2011 08:55PM

Dustin Byfuglien was doing things to make fans of the Winnipeg Jets worry before he’d even stepped on to the ice in the team’s new jersey. In August, the defenseman was arrested under suspicion of impaired boating; perhaps worse from a hockey perspective was the fact that his weight was reported at 286lbs – well above his playing weight.

It wouldn’t be a welcome break for any hockey player, but given Byfuglien’s late-season slide it was particularly concerning. In the first 41 games of 2010-11, Byfuglien’s offense was off the charts, as he recorded 15 goals and 25 assists for a total of 40 points, along with a plus-6 rating. Over the final 40 games, he tallied just five goals, eight assists, and 13 points, and went minus-8 to boot.

Now, Byfuglien is minus-6 just eight games into the season. Is he in real trouble?

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