The Draft Files: The Historical Cohort Based Approach Gets Its Sham On

money puck
April 11 2015 10:00AM

Later today, the Washington D.C. Hockey Analytics Conference will take place, as a handful of online analytics personalities will gather at Georgetown University to present a variety of studies and findings in the field of hockey analytics. Our own MoneyPuck will be in attendance to present the following study on simulating former entry drafts based on his height and scoring cohort success percentage model, so let's wish him the best of luck!

One of the passions that most of us at Canucks Army share is the desire to improve how teams draft players. This should come as no surprise, given that most of us are long suffering Canucks fans that have had to live with having one of the league's worst draft records

Much ink has been spilled in the analytics community on the importance of scoring at the junior level as an indicator of future success, with many analysts lamenting the perceived bias teams have in selecting size over skill. Josh Weissbock and myself addressed this in our work on predicting the future NHL success of both forwards and defensemen. We found small players had a lower likelihood of making it in the NHL than their taller peers who produced at the same rate offensively. Smaller players that did make it were generally prolific scorers at the junior level. Far from a validation of drafting size over skill, the implications of the study were rather intuitive and predictable: draft the higher scorer, and if scoring is equal, pick the bigger player. 

So given this information, can we out-draft an NHL team? Find out after the jump.

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Connor Hellebuyck recalled by the Winnipeg Jets

Garret Hohl
April 10 2015 12:43PM

The Winnipeg Jets announced the recalling of rookie netminder sensation, Connor Hellebuyck, from the St. John’s IceCaps of the AHL.

The Jets have clinched playoffs while the IceCaps have been eliminated from contention. With these factors, the Jets have decided to bring up the 21-year-old to the big leagues.

Check out more after the jump.

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IceCaps Recap – April10th

Josh W
April 10 2015 11:29AM

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Courtesy: StJohnsIceCaps.com

Welcome to the latest instalment of the IceCaps Recap where we review all the weekly activities of the St. John’s Ice Caps, the AHL affiliation of the Winnipeg Jets. Similar to the Future NHEhlers weekly article, we review all the stats and news we can find for your IceCaps.

Continue past the jump to read what went down.

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Hockey Graphs Podcast Episode 12: Sbisa Money

Rhys Jessop
April 10 2015 11:00AM

Hockey Graphs Podcast 2

On our 12th episode, we look at the Canucks and Jets making the playoffs, the Derek Dorsett and Luca Sbisa contract signings, and spend too much time looking at draft eligible prospects once again. Join us after the jump to listen!

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The current Jets roster may be the best Winnipeg Jets team ever in the NHL

Garret Hohl
April 10 2015 08:00AM

Last night was a glorious night for hockey in Winnipeg. Yes, the Jets lost in shootout and only picked up one point in the standings. The Los Angeles Kings though lost to the Calgary Flames in regulation time, which means the Jets are going to the big show.

The Winnipeg Jets are going to the playoffs, and they may be playing there with the best Winnipeg team to ever play in the NHL.

We will show you why after the jump.

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