Stockholm in the Winter: Windows of Opportunity

Kevin McCartney
April 10 2013 03:19PM

                                                                                                                                                                         Photo by Micha Persson

Prior to this trade deadline, we talked about the idea that the team's actions would give us a tell about the direction of the organization, and about how they perceived their window of opportunity. The action taken? Adding Mike Santorelli via waivers - a bubble player from the worst team in the league this season. I think we all wanted something more decisive, though fans seemed split between buying and selling, and a terrible streak of losing that saw the division title simply slip through our fingers peaked the frustration at our current management group.

We're still left with the question of when this management group will choose to compete, and a further question of what they intend the roster to look like when they do.

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Game #41 Vs Buffalo: Last chances

Kevin McCartney
April 09 2013 05:43PM


Buffalo Sabers (16-17-6) At

Your Winnipeg Jets (19-19-2)

Last Meeting: February 19th, Jets 2 – Sabres 1

Broadcast: TSN Jets

Puck Drop: 7:00 (CT)

Preview

Buffalo is the only team in the Eastern Conference with a losing record against the Southeast Division. On top of it, they shipped out Pominville, Leopold, and Regehr since the last time the Jets played them, a 2-1 win back in the heady days of February. Still, the Jets at 3-7 in the last ten, and the Sabres have won 3 straight – apparently galvanized by their underdog status. The Jets are favoured to win, but have a meaningfully worse goal differential and are one of only ten teams in the league with fewer than 100 goals for – and a leader (along with Nashville) among that ignominious third for games played. Somehow, some way as we hold our breath for another puck drop.

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Jets Trade Deadline: What is our window of success?

Kevin McCartney
April 03 2013 05:42AM

 

We heard in the second intermission of last night's game what we all wanted to hear - that Cheveldayoff knows we need to upgrade the right wing and that there are other additions that could be made. He also spoke of the need to continue to build for the future. We can hope that this team intends to continue to add NHL hockey players along with prospects. The 'be good' model we can call it. Inside are some (okay, many) thoughts on what shape that might take today.

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Game #38 at Islanders: Deadline eve

Kevin McCartney
April 02 2013 04:15PM

New York Islanders (17-16-3) Vs.
Your Winnipeg Jets (18-17-2)
 
Last Meeting:
January 27th, Jets 5 - Islanders 4 (OT)
 
Broadcast:
TV: TSN Jets
Puck Drop: 6:00 (CT) 

Preview 

It's a tough day for Jets fans. By now we all know the situation - still atop the Southeat division, but only four points up on Carolina and a surging Washington, both of whom have games in hand. The Jets deficiencies have been on display this past week, with a lack of scoring, an ineffective powerplay, depth issues, system breakdowns, and poor goaltending all seeming to take turns in costing the team five of its last seven games - starting with the back-to-back head-shakers against Washington that let them back into the race. Most years, the Islanders would be a respite from playing teams with NHL players, but added talent on the blue line, Evgeni Nabokov (a poor goalie this year, but .040 pts better than their backup), a little luck, and the John Tavares show have vaulted the team into a tie for 8th in the East. Lucky for us, they're still awful at home.

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Hard Decisions

Kevin McCartney
April 02 2013 04:12AM

 AndrewLadd1

Dropping their third straight game, and 5th of their last 7 but still atop the Southeast Division, the Jets are in an unenviable place for this deadline. It's clear that this roster needs upgrading to reasonably expect to advance in the playoffs, and perhaps even just to make them. A second line right winger with some scoring ability, a third-line left winger who can play both ways and drive the play, maybe a depth defenceman, and even another depth forward could all reasonably be put on a wish list for the short-term, while a solution in net, more high-end talent, and another top 4 defenceman are likely on everyone's long-term radar. With just 10 players from their current roster under contract for next year and over $30M in estimated cap space, the Jets face a challenging question this deadline, and one that plagued the Thrashers for a decade. Is this rebuild going to require a 'scortched earth' approach, or will the Jets attempt to compete while adding prospects? More specifically, how should the Jets manage soon-to-be UFAs and RFAs knowing that they don't have better replacements waiting next season? And how should they approach the deadline given they currently have a 48% chance of making the playoffs?

Cheveldayoff has made it clear that the team intends to build from within, and boasts 4 picks inside the top 60 of a very high-end draft along with Scheifele and Trouba getting closer to NHL action. But the pipeline holds few other assets, with Patrice Cormier seeing extremely limited minutes (in number and effectiveness) during his recent call up, Eric O'Dell impressing somewhat unexpectedly on a bad IceCaps team, and Ivan Telegin having an underwhelming season derailed by injury. On the blue line, Postma continues to project as a specialist despite passing his 24th birthday, and Zach Redmond was impressive in an early call up but also had his season cut short by injury (pun bonus!) while playing in a limited role. 

Meanwhile, the team faces UFA decisions on depth forwards Nik Antropov, Kyle Wellwood, and Antti Miettinen, as well as Clitsome and anchor-to-our-penalty-kill Ron Hainsey. Though all of these players have faced and even deserved some scorn from the fanbase this year, Antropov is the 6th highest scorer on the team (5th among forwards) and Hainsey is -2 while playing tough minutes for a team that is -8 at even strength. Advanced stats tell us Hainsey is playing some of the toughest competition in the league on a consistent basis, and has a similar role to other noteable shut down defencemen like Dan Girdardi, Brooks Orpik, Robyn Regehr, and Brad Stuart. On top of that, he plays more than three minutes a night on the penalty kill. He's a player that is critical to the Jets success this season, but also can't be allowed to leave the team without assets coming back.

This is not a deep UFA class, and the Jets don't have replacements on the roster or in the system for their free agents to be. Equally important is the fact that the team has an opportunity at the playoffs, home ice advantage, and a division title the season before entering a much more challenging division. Ask Oilers fans, Leafs fans, or even Thrashers fans how important a playoff birth is to a franchise. 

Wednesday will come with some hard decisions for the franchise, and more than other teams, the Jets will show their intention for how the rebuild will continue. Will the Jets sell their UFAs and accept losing this season and possibly into next? Or will they add the pieces so clearly missing on this team and attempt to add wins along with prospects? 

Armchair GMs sound off in the comments.

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