Scheifele and the Lines

Kevin McCartney
August 27 2013 04:26AM

 

Photo by Kevin McCartney

Even if it’s obvious to all of Europe that I’m Canadian from my dorky clothes and broken French, I didn’t really take notice until just the other day. I was staring at the efforts of generations of workers – over 140 years – that resulted in the Duomo in Florence pictured above, and I literally thought ‘I wonder how Claude Noel will vary his lines at home and on the road this year.’ Priorities. 

Mark Scheifele

The thought came from some news on Mark Scheifele that burned through the dry grass of Jets twitter accounts this week. The annual BioSteel fitness camp run by Gary Roberts and Matt Nichol includes a 4-on-4 tournament where apparently the Jets’ first pick turned some heads. Luke Fox from Sportsnet set the blaze with this quote: 

Mark Scheifele is ready to go right this second.
 Tons of talent at the camp, but even amongst the likes of 40-goal scorer James Neal, the most beautiful offence usually came from the hands of Winnipeg Jets prospect Mark Scheifele. Anxious to see the 20-year-old get a lengthy string of NHL games under his belt.

It’s as much relieving as exciting. Even from Italy I could feel a million Manitobans relax for the first time since Cheveldayoff called the power forward’s name in 2011. The fact that Scheifele is working with fitness guru Gary Roberts at a young age, and got to work with established NHL power forwards such as Chris Stewart, Wayne Simmonds, David Clarkson, and the aforementioned James Neal is itself good news. The young man is taking his jump to the NHL very seriously. Plus he met Connor McDavid. I hope he got an autograph.

What does it mean for the lines?

In most cases, imagining lines isn't a particularly useful exercise. Claude Noel isn't reading this and will do as he likes. Instead, the value lies in recognizing that this roster is out of balance. We know before September arrives that Noel will be changing his lines often looking for balance, and we can expect at least one more waiver wire addition and some hopeful call-ups during the year from the tinkering GM, but we can safely bet nothing in the way of experienced, quality help. How Noel manages a shallow talent group up front will be an important part of the story for the 2013/14 Jets.  

The Jets have a terrific power-vs-power first line, and we can anticipate that Noel will continue to play them against the other team’s best when he has last change at home. We’re left with two questions:

  1. Who will play the second toughs?
  2. What matchup will other teams pursue?

The lineup puzzle is not easy with this roster. In fact, we can’t even be sure what position Frolik or Scheifele will play this year, never mind who their mates will be or what kind of assignment they will be handed. A few other issues:

  • I think Jokinen struggles to use his backhand (left) winger and excels when his forehand (right) winger is a capable scorer and perhaps big-bodied. Playing with Horton in Florida and Iginla in Calgary were his best years.
  • To beat a dead horse, the loss of Burmistrov is also the loss of the only possession-winning checker the team has. Jim Slater gives up scoring chances at an alarming rate, despite the narrative around his shut-down role. In other words, the team doesn't have a traditional checking line.
  • Kane will draw tough assignments as a dangerous scorer. On the road, other teams may choose to put their best lines against him in an effort to keep the puck away from him while exploiting the Jets lack of depth. If he has to face Toews/Hossa or Koivu/Parise, it would be a tall order to ask the rookie Scheifele to be out there with him.

Where does balance come from?

We have seen in recent years that depth is required to win. Being able to roll 3 or even 4 lines of NHL quality players makes the other team’s job a lot harder. The Jets just don’t have that kind of depth. They have seven skaters who could play in a top-6 role, but only 8 that would make a better team's top-9, and few traditional specialists. They have the added problem of having to move at least one player to a position of weakness – Frolik to RW, Scheifele to centre where he might be exposed as a rookie, or something we haven’t considered – in order to ice their eight players plus one body.

The Jets best bet at approximating depth is to spread out their talent. Consider these lines:

  • Little / Ladd / Wheeler
  • Frolik / Kane / Setoguchi
  • Jokinen / Tangradi / Scheifele
  • The players too awful to think about on vacation

Jokinen and Scheifele are playing together to give Scheifele an easier assignment and Jokinen a big-bodied scoring RW. Frolik has been moved to centre. He’s a smart player, and played centre in Junior (as many of the top prospects do). His faceoffs are not impressive in limited attempts, but it’s hard to imagine Scheifele being appreciably better as a rookie. Kane has some scoring help – though not the best the team can offer – and also some two-way support that might make a few shifts against Duchene or the forecheck of the Blues manageable. This lineup doesn't win a cup, but it also avoids a night and day divide between the results of the top-6 and the bottom-6. Moreover, it gives the team two lines who can play second-level opposition, and doesn't relegate Jokinen or Setoguchi to a checking role in a contract year (a recipe for unpleasantness). 

Despite the many claims (even by me) that Jokinen and Schiefele will be auditioning for the same job of 2C, we can imagine this team organized in such a way as to reveal a hole at centre. Moving Tangradi outside the top-9, Frolik could take his LW role - if only the team had another centre. Does Eric O'Dell get a look for a soft-minutes assignment there? Is that Nic Petan's job down the line? What does the team do when Grabovski is a free agent again next year?

The bottom line

We can't know on August 27th whether this lineup is better or worse than what Noel comes up with for October 4th. What we can know is that this team is shy on NHL quality players at the forward position, and it will be up to the coaches to get creative to stay competitive. Despite my own belief that Scheifele and Jokinen will be considered for the same 2C job, the reality is that Scheifele could be the answer to fixing Jokinen's game. Still, the team risks exposing its bottom-6 by putting all its talent into two lines. With just over a month until the season begins, we can hope Cheveldayoff can squeeze another NHL player onto this roster.

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Kevin is the Managing Editor of Jets Nation. His work has been featured on Bleacher Report, The Sporting News, and around the Nations Network. An enthusiastic over-analyst, his background and interests are diverse, but you might notice he's obsessed with hockey. Track him down on twitter @kevinmccart or @nhljetsnation
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#1 SmellOfVictory
August 27 2013, 01:07PM
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One note about Joker with the Flames: his best seasons on Calgary actually came on the second line, with guys like Glencross and Moss. He and Iginla were pretty much the worst thing on the planet when they played together.

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#2 howard stewart
August 27 2013, 02:57PM
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The GM has to squeeze another NHL player onto the roster. The GM has yet to show a desire to add any pieces to the puzzle. He seems to think a five year plan is a five year wait.

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#3 Kent Wilson
August 27 2013, 03:43PM
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@SmellOfVictory

Co-sign. Joker had okay numbers, but he was fore fed ice time at ES and the PP because the team never abandoned the idea that he was a "first line center". He's not though. Not good defensively, can't think the game a high level, not a good puck distributor.

So you don't want him playing with your snipers, ideally. Give him some PP time, shelter him a bit. That's about what you can do with him at this point in his career.

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#5 Travis Hrubeniuk
August 27 2013, 08:33PM
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Kent Wilson wrote:

Co-sign. Joker had okay numbers, but he was fore fed ice time at ES and the PP because the team never abandoned the idea that he was a "first line center". He's not though. Not good defensively, can't think the game a high level, not a good puck distributor.

So you don't want him playing with your snipers, ideally. Give him some PP time, shelter him a bit. That's about what you can do with him at this point in his career.

The problem really arises if Noel wants to try to shelter Scheifele. Unless he does something similar to what Kevin showed above, he can only really try to hide one line.

Unless Scheif shows that he can handle tougher minutes, Jokinen needs to really put on his big boy pants this year.

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#6 Lenny Smith
August 28 2013, 12:29PM
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@howard stewart

Trade Enstrom (and another reasonable piece if need be) for a second-line forward.

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