Game 8 vs. St Louis: Pavelec and Entries

Travis Hrubeniuk
October 19 2013 04:50PM

The Jets managed to steal a win from a tough Blues squad last night to get themselves back to .500 on the season. Let’s take a look at the zone entry stats and evaluate how Pavelec did in this surprising win.

Zone Entries

5 vs 5

Player

# of successful entries

Shots (From Entries)

Shots/Entry

Controlled Entries

Shots (Controlled Entries)

% With Control

% That Fail

5

Stuart

0

0

N/A

0

0

N/A

N/A

8

Trouba

2

2

1.00

2

2

100%

0.0%

9

Kane

10

5

0.50

7

5

70%

0.0%

12

Jokinen

1

0

0.00

1

0

100%

0.0%

14

Peluso

4

1

0.25

3

1

75%

0.0%

15

Halischuk

5

3

0.60

2

1

40%

0.0%

16

Ladd

4

3

0.75

3

3

75%

25.0%

17

Wright

5

1

0.20

0

0

0%

100.0%

18

Little

10

3

0.30

6

2

60%

14.3%

19

Slater

2

1

0.50

1

1

50%

0.0%

24

Clitsome

3

1

0.33

1

1

33%

0.0%

26

Wheeler

5

4

0.80

5

4

100%

28.6%

28

Cormier

1

0

0.00

1

0

100%

50.0%

33

Byfuglien

3

1

0.33

2

0

67%

0.0%

39

Enstrom

1

0

0.00

1

0

100%

0.0%

44

Bogosian

6

4

0.67

2

2

33%

0.0%

55

Scheifele

5

3

0.60

4

2

80%

0.0%

67

Frolik

6

3

0.50

3

3

50%

25.0%

 

TEAM

73

35

0.48

44

27

60%

13.7%

 

OPP

76

34

0.45

36

23

47%

16.3%

 

OZF

19

5

0.26

       
 

DZF

12

2

0.17

       

Observations

  • Blake Wheeler stopped dumping the puck in, and look at what happened! I don’t know if this is a by-product from playing alongside Evander Kane, but you have to like his increase in production. Bryan Little may not have had the most efficient of games, but Kane and Wheeler together picked up the slack for the most part.
  • Trouba, despite leaving early due that scary headfirst wipe out and playing with Stuart, was actually able to create a bit of offense on the night. I’ve noticed that in games he’s feeling comfortable in, he’s quite skilled at generating shots off of the rush. He’s going to be out for at least 2-3 weeks though, so the Jets are going to have to find that elsewhere.
  • Mark Stuart is pretty useless on offense.
  • Ladd, Frolik and Scheifele were both able to generate shots from their entries, but as you’ll see in my upcoming chances article, they weren’t exactly effective shots. Nonetheless, being able to generate shots is a positive, and things should get better if they can keep up that efficiency as a line.
  • I have a hard time defining Anthony Peluso as just a “goon”. He does have some skill, and I greatly prefer him to Chris Thorburn. I think he should be in the lineup a bit more often.
  • Overall, I’m impressed with the percentage of entries the Jets were able to create with control. The Blues aren’t exactly an easy team to go up against, but they were able to penetrate the blue line with solid efficiency. One thing that did bother me, though, was how often they followed the entry with poor shots from a distance. Not until late in the game did the Jets start really driving towards the net, and they got lucky with a couple poor bounces off of Elliot.

Pavelec Performance

I thought Pavelec had an overall shaky night. He was out of position often in the first period, and was bailed out by a LOT of posts. Credit where credit is due though, as despite the fact that he spent a lot of the time in the shootout on his stomach, he made enough stops to earn the Jets a win. Here’s my breakdown of the goals:

Goal

Situation

Reason It Went In

Where It Went

1

Turnover

Beat Clean (Defense At Fault)

Glove Hand

2

Turnover

Beat Clean (Pavelec At Fault)

Blocker

3

Sustained Pressure

Rebound

Left Pad

Quick Explanations:

This one isn’t Pav’s fault. First, Clitsome just falls apart. Literally. Following the turnover though, all five Jets get caught watching the puck allowing David Backes to walk in front of Jim Slater down the middle of the ice, and easily bury the puck by Ondrej.

This one I’m not forgiving Pavelec for. Yes, Trouba is guilty of a horrible turnover. That being said, at some point your goalie has to bail you out. Well, at least the good ones do. Steen lets a relatively weak wrister from just above the dot, with no traffic, and it beats Pav. He has to make that save.

That’s a horrible rebound to give up. Pavelec doesn’t square up to the original shooter, therefore leaving himself unable to control the rebound at all. It goes right to Steen who slides it into the net. Better positioning likely prevents this goal.

Things To Watch For

The Jets play Nashville Sunday night in their first matchup against new division rivals. Here are a few things to watch for as the Jets try, once again, to move above .500:

  1. How will the defense look? Originally, I was really looking forward to the Trouba/Jones matchup and storyline that was going to come along with this game. Thankfully, after his fall it looks like Trouba is alright and will only miss a couple weeks with a neck strain. Adam Pardy was called up from the Ice Caps this afternoon, but it is still unknown is either he or Paul Postma will draw in against the Preds. I would assume Postma would get the call, but who knows with Noel Logic?
  2. Will Setoguchi draw back in? I’m not exactly sure as to why Setoguchi felt Noel’s wrath in place of Blake Wheeler Friday night, but it seemed to work as Wheels had one of his better games of the year. Following a win it’ll be interesting to see if Claude changes things at all.
  3. What is this penalty kill? The Jets were perfect again on the PK Friday night. How long can they keep this up?

Final Thought

Why the heck was Anthony Peluso called upon in the shootout before Mark Scheifele? Serious question here folks. Someone please explain this to me.

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I write things, you read them. Then tend to yell at me for them. It's okay though, I'm from Winnipeg. I can take it. If you actually do like what I write, give me a twitter follow here (@thrubeniuk): https://twitter.com/thrubeniuk
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#1 james
October 19 2013, 05:12PM
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First goal was also partially Byfugliens fault... it was an awful pinch and then he ended up not recovering to the other side (he should have been right where Backes got the pass in the front left side of the net and not to Pavs right). The second goal definitely isn't all Pavelec's fault... giveaways in the defensive end are difficult to get into position for fast, and it didn't happen there resulting in a goal. Trouba is more to blame on that goal than Pav for sure. The third one was a bad rebound, but the defence should have been able to control the player in front better than they did.

Generally speaking, I like the articles that you write but I'm going to assume you're not a goalie... which would explain a lot.

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#2 Kevin McCartney
October 19 2013, 11:23PM
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There's definitely some subjectivity to it, James. I think broad public opinion puts that on Trouba. He made the double mistake of turnover and then not closing his gap, but playing the first shooting lane. Steen gets that step around him.

James - I assume you are a goalie? What can a goalie do there? Steen makes that step, so Pavelec has a moment to adjust to the shot. It's not a lot of time, and I'm sure he had to play the fake shot too, so he's not starting from neutral. In a one-on-one, shooter vs goalie situation like, can we ever expect Pav to make the stop? Or perhaps if he does save it, we should consider it stealing a goal?

Love to hear your thoughts on it.

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#3 James
October 20 2013, 03:40AM
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@Kevin McCartney

Yes, I am a goalie. Keep in mind I've never played against anyone who was even remotely close to as talented as a player like Steen! The problem with giveaways in the defensive end, especially one like this, is the goalie doesn't have as much time to set up for the shot. I've tried finding a replay from the other angle, which would show how Pavelec reacted to the fake shot, but I can't seem to find one. Looking at the replay a few more times, and not really being able to see Pavelec in the play until around the fake shot, it looks like he partially bit (as in not going into the butterfly but showing a reaction) on the fake shot. I can imagine that Pavelec was already a split second behind as a result of the giveaway, and the fake shot probably put him even more behind. The other angle would show me how much of the net Steen had to shoot at... because its impossible to tell from Pav's left side. That angle would show how far out of position Pavelec was. What can Pavelev do? I think not biting on the fake shot, especially since it was from a fair distance, but thats easier said than done. I think if he had made the save it would have been an amazing save (but one that Pavelec is capable of). Steen also put it high blocker side which always tough to stop.

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